Ma i e le giovani, come hanno votato?

Nuove Narrazioni
3 min readJun 13, 2024

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Una breve e incompleta raccolta di articoli interessanti trovati in giro a commento dei risultati delle Elezioni europee 2024

Italia. Il voto dei giovani secondo youtrend

Polonia, Francia e Germania. Secondo il politologo tedesco Yashka Munch, “In Poland, a plurality of voters under the age of 30 supported the far-right Konfederacja. In France, the National Rally did a little better among voters under the age of 35 than it did in the population as a whole. In Germany, the young are now significantly more likely to vote for the far right than the old, with the AfD out-polling the Greens among those who are younger than 25.” La notizia della Germania è particolarmente significativa perché “five years ago, the Green Party gained seven times more votes among those below the age of 25 than did the Alternative for Germany. This time around, the Alternative for Germany did better than the Greens, sharing first place with the center-right Christian Democrats.

Belgio, Francia, Portogallo, Germania e Finlandia. Secondo Politico, “In Belgium, France, Portugal, Germany and Finland, younger voters are backing anti-immigration and anti-establishment parties in numbers equal to and even exceeding older voters, analyses of recent elections and research of young people’s political preferences suggest.

Due approfondimenti, sempre di Politico, su

  • casa: “In the Netherlands, Geert Wilders’ anti-immigration far-right Freedom Party won the 2023 election on a campaign that tied affordable housing to restrictions on immigration — a focus that struck a chord with young voters. In Portugal, too, the far-right party Chega, which means “enough” in Portuguese, drew on young people’s frustration with the housing crisis, among other quality-of-life concerns.
  • e genere: “The analysis also points to a split: While young women often reported support for the Greens and other left-leaning parties, anti-migration parties did particularly well among young men. (Though there are some exceptions. See France, below, for example.)

America. Secondo Slow Boring — “Joe Biden is losing ground with young voters (In 2020, Biden won 60% of voters aged 18–29, compared to 37% for Trump and 3% for third parties, according to figures from Catalist. The most recent New York Times/Siena poll of the battleground states shows that Biden is losing young voters 43–46 to Trump, with 11% breaking for third-party candidates. Adam Carlson, a Democratic pollster, has aggregated the crosstabs of 12 nonpartisan, national head-to-head polls released in February, and he found Biden up 52–40 over Trump, down from his 24-point margin in 2020.)”.

Ma mentre la narazione dei media punta il dito a una “revolt from the left”, secondo Slowboring le cose sono più complicate: “As regular readers know, most Americans self-identify as moderate or conservative […] What you might not know is that the same pattern holds true for young people. When we asked them to define their own ideological position, 31% of young voters in our poll said they were moderate; 36% define themselves as some degree of liberal (21% very liberal); and 33% define themselves as conservative, including 12% who said they were very conservative.

Aggiornamento: anche alle elezioni in UK (04/07/2024) sembra che i e le giovani siano stati attratti dall’estrema destra (la fonte è il Sun, vabbé): “A survey of 16 and 17-year-olds by JL Partners reveals 39 per cent would back Labour if they could vote on Thursday, followed by 23 per cent for Reform. The Greens would get 18 per cent, the Lib Dems 9 per cent, and the Tories a paltry 5 per cent.

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